Prediction thread: Son of Sardaar Vs Jab tak hai Jaan

This Diwali there is a war. But there can be only one victor, only one Ram who returns to Ayodhya after demolishing the demons.
So who is God and who is demon this Diwali?
Or will it be a battle and not a war?
Or will both emerge victors?
Or will both kill each other?

Expectation from both films are rocket high. Anything less than 100 cr Lifetime from either will be colossal disappointment.

Looking at the fact that SRK is coming after 10 months in a Yash Chopra film with the queen bee Katrina, raises the bar a little higher for him. He has also slipped in ranking and popularity and no one can win hearts the way king khan can and the world knows this.

On the other hand Devgn’s film is a remake of Telugu blockbuster made by SS Rajamouli. So mind says that’s this film cannot go wrong at least this year when Rajamouli’s remake Rowdy Rathore rocked the box office and became a memorable and most appreciated blockbuster.

My predictions are:

Jab tak hai Jaan:

Opening weekend: Rs 35 cr
Opening week : Rs 75 cr
Lifetime nett ( new addition) : Rs 110 cr

Son of Sardaar

Opening weekend: Rs 30 cr
Opening week: Rs 75 cr
Lifetime nett ( new addition ) : Rs 110 cr

Diwali match will be drawn. However, in this drawn match where both will win, Ajay Devgn will emerge bigger winner as David will match Golliath and emerge victorious along with him.

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44 Comments

  1. Manish said:

    Bhai kya keh raha hai ?? 5 day weekend hai … 30 and 35 crore ??

    srk movie will open higher

    and my expectation are 110-140 for JTHJ
    and for SOS 80-100

      • Manish said:

        Lol thats my final count with decent wom .. ofcourse theer will eb mnay permutations and combinations but this is considering that both have decent wom :D

          • Manish said:

            BTW i think .. NG will have more fun next year ..

            just saw Yeh jawani hai deewani of ranbir will compete with Naam hai boss of akshay ..

            eid there will battle again with one movie …

            since srk and sallu will have 2 movies in second half of 2012 plus 1 each from HR and aamir and 2 from akshay … there will be one -two more clash

          • Gorilla said:

            Yeh jawaani is releasing on may 31 while Boss is coming on Aug 15.
            I hope no big film clashes and that all of them have a holiday on day 1 :)

  2. Gorilla said:

    Manish bro, I think Diwali puja and competition will eat into potential. However note that in a combined capacity of 25 cr each day i am predicting good showing by both movies. Had each released solo, the turnover would have been more.

  3. Manish said:

    gorilla bhai OUTIMA is coming on eid 8th august .. Boss is post IPL release …

    with the kind og big movies lined up just in second half .. clashes are unavoiadable .. huge business potential at festival gas made everyone try to release their movies in second half ….

    eid , diwali christmas all fall in second half

    • Gorilla said:

      U r right….I referred Bollywood hungama for release date which I think is not updated for Boss.
      Next year many holidays are falling on weekend, so not much to gain.

  4. Serenzy said:

    At Good WOM for Both Movies :-

    JTHJ – 115/20cr

    SOS – ~100cr

    No One is Winner, No One is Loser….Both will Slightly Underperform.

    But but but… If 1 Movie Gets Excellent WOM[Barfi! Level] and Another One is TMK Level, that One will Clearly Win Big Time.

    Personally, I don’t want JTHJ to Have Bigger Collections but Go the ‘Cocktail Way’.

  5. FS said:

    JTHJ – 60cr weekend and 75cr week. Lifetime 130-145cr

    SOS – due to lower screens – 40cr weekend and 55cr week. Lifetime 90-120cr.

    PS: Weekend – 5 day weekend

  6. alizain2844 said:

    jthj..
    Tue.. 13 cr
    Wed.. 24 cr
    Thur.. 25 cr
    Fri.. 15 cr
    Sat.. 16 cr
    Sun.. 19 cr
    Weekdays.. 30 cr
    Week 2.. 30 cr
    Week 3.. 10 cr
    Total.. 185-190 cr

  7. alizain2844 said:

    sos..
    Tue.. 8 cr
    Wed.. 14 cr
    Thur.. 15 cr
    Fri.. 11 cr
    Sat.. 11 cr
    Sun.. 13 cr
    Weekdays.. 20 cr
    Week 2.. 18 cr
    Week 3.. 4 cr
    Total.. 115-120 cr
    both predictins are in case both are likd by audience.
    .

  8. aravind_66 said:

    dnt know abt jthj…but if sos does 110cr or more it will be quite an achievement considering the number of screens…

  9. das said:

    I know it is very difficult (considering the no of screen SOS is getting) but I want SOS to collect more then JTHJ at boxoffice. All the best Ajay and SOS team

  10. cr7 said:

    was ppl here really expecting sos to get more screens than 1600(?) ?? i think putting aside the alleged injustice of yrf ,,i don’t think sos would have got more 1600-1700 screen anyway .

    jthj – 125
    sos -65+10(for the sympathy factor. “human” around the world praying for it )

  11. Dino said:

    It will be JTHJ all the way. As I have repeatedly said the Yash Chopra factor will play out in a big way as the release date nears. He was a legend and his last movie prior to release date will lead to media frenzy which would elbow out SOS. Only if SOS is a great product will it be able to bounceback in week 2 . I go with JTHJ 150+, SOS: 60-80 cr.

  12. wall-D said:

    Yup, i am sure media will favour jthj as smpathy factor. We have already seen them pressurizing ajay for postponement of release. They never asked same to srk or yrf. Moreover, they have taken forward yrf’s twisted arguments full of fake facts and lies about date with quite a zeal. ANYWAYS, I AM SURE PUBLIC WILL LIKE SOS MORE.

  13. waleed jawaid said:

    my prediction first day TUE
    sos 10 -11 cr
    Jtht 15-17
    6 day weekend Jthj 90 – 100
    SOS 65-70
    and then content will decide
    i expect Jthj to finish at 140 and Sos to 110 to 120
    @ manish @gorilla this battle could have been easily won by sharukh but due to these misuse of power by YRF this has become intense..!! coming on akshay if khiladi 786 gets a clean verdict or hit tag lets say 80 to 90 cr then Boss will finish around 120 or more irrespective of competition ..! and OUTIM2 on eid agar salman khan bhi aega na tab bhi opening 2-4 crore cy ziada le sakta ha agay we all know ekta kapoor product and akshay as don.!!! salman bhai buht EIDI jama hogai >>!!!

  14. waleed jawaid said:

    we all know k devgen have very few fans here online ..!! but i can suggest something to those who have posting rights @Danish manish gorilla ank 16 any 1..! we can make a thread so as we watch movie we will rate it out of 10 or 5 till 2 weeks at the end we will see who wins..!! we all our movie lovers !! i hope we wil do justice to our passion.!i mean both films will be rated by only NG members and we and then we will decide which is better? what say guys

  15. iitianWay said:

    as per few speculation on storyline of JTHJ …if srk really dies then low moon (amavasya) factor will add to people’s liking for sad love story line…and may create havoc on BO ….if he dies (in movie).

    // Moon factor …new addition in movie’s success…maano ya na maano //

  16. ank_16n said:

    For me—-
    It would be a close fight—–
    Between the Length of JTHJ and SOS Class appeal………..
    If People didn;t liked the last hour of JTHJ then——-SOS will win
    otherwise JTHJ will win—–!

  17. ank_16n said:

    1st day combine of both SOS and JTHJ will not be more than 15 cr…….

    If someone feels it will be way higher more than 20 cr….
    then Either they don’t live in India(To feel Diwali and its effect on Collections)
    or
    They forgot that after adding 1000 3D screens with 40% more price than normal Ra.one still collected less than 15 cr.

    • ank_16n said:

      Rockyy——-Ra.one did
      14.50 cr in its Hindi version…..

      and

      JTHJ will not release in Dubbed version…..

      so Its only hindi version which you should talk…..

      Second—–Tamil …Telugu Audience which Don’t know Hindi don’t see Hindi movies…..
      If JTHJ would have been released in Dubbed version then it would have helped but not……in this case

        • ank_16n said:

          Rockyy—-Please read my comment again……
          I sad Tamil…Telugu Audience who don’t know Hindi…..

          And go to Tamil Nadu or Andhra Pradesh you will Find Lakhs of people from these states who don’t Know Hindi…..

          That’s a reason why a Gabbar singh(Telugu) movie does 60 cr Gross in Andhra….
          whereas a 3Idiots did only 10 cr Gross…….
          Hope you understand…..

  18. Khan.1 said:

    Ank
    ra.one didnt released in 3-D on first day.

    I want JTHJ to collect atleast 135cr. It JTHJ is collecting more than 135cr than i will not mind even if SOS collects 200cr

  19. Kumar3798 said:

    Since both r Releasing on Diwali Day 13thNov therefore 1st Day shd be JTHJ -13cr nd SOS – 12cr wknd(3Day) in General shd be JTHJ – 45 to 47cr nd SOS – 42 to 45cr JTHJ will Lead in 1stWknd nd 1st Wk but SOS will Lead in Wk2 nd Wk3 LIFETIME for JTHJ – 110 to 115cr India Nett nd SOS 120cr nett India

  20. Kumar3798 said:

    Moreover Tamil Market will be Ruled by Thuppaki a Vijay Starrer , which rls on Nov9th ,For d First time Thuppaki Paid Preview is Arranged in Mumbai ,first for a Tamil Film

    • ank_16n said:

      Kumar3798—-no Tamil or Telugu movie Effect business of Hindi movies…..

      as There are different cinemas for both Regional films and Hindi movies in these states….

      For ex—-If Thuppaki doesn’t release then also SOS or JTHJ will still release in same theatres…..

      Thuppaki ke lagne na lagne se koi farak nhi padta……

  21. Kumar3798 said:

    Both Films Lifetime will have a Diff of Hardly 10 to 15cr to d Most if both gets Good WOM, JTHJ will Rule in Opening where as SOS will be More Widely Accepted

  22. Aditya007 said:

    Btw I think south superAwaited AR Mrurgadoss+Vijay’s Thuppaki also releasing at period of diwali[9th Nov] , So it’ll affect hugely to Hindi Movies !!

  23. iitianWay said:

    they will make more money if they sell remake rights of tamil/telgu movies.
    ..and keeping the distribution of those remake rights and playing YRF “card” for them too.

    (abhi se bol diya hoga ..JTHJ chhaiye to T/T version bhi hamein dene honge…yeh cinema halls to jindgai bhar ke liye bandhua and majboor ho gaye)

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