NAACHGAANA
NG FILM SURVEY – 1
Jasp the Wasp | February 26, 2012, 2:56 PM | 41 comments | 1,535 views


This is the first in a (hopefully) series of NG-wide surveys regarding upcoming Bollywood films. Basically, this is nothing but an opinion poll and we NGians are going to put out our predictions for some films and see what sort of buzz and expectations are there for the films, in a small scale. I’ll also brief everyone a bit about the films. NOTE:- This opinion poll is only about nearby releases, and three releases will be taken up at a time. The listing is by release date.

Okay, here are the rules :-

* Please be civil and constructive here; DO NOT engage in unnecessary fan wars.

* Be neutral and honest; over-exaggerating and increasing expectations can lead to future disappointment.

What I would like to know from you guys is -

* How much will the films earn, in your opinion?

* Will it sustain/crash (i.e film’s theatrical trajectory)?

1. Kahaani

Poster

Director – Sujoy Ghosh

Stars – Vidya Balan

Release date – March 9, 2012

Kahaani is the latest film to come to theaters. Sujoy Ghosh has a rather mixed record in films, with a well-received Jhankaar Beats but poorly-received Home Delivery and box office bomb Aladdin. The trailers have been very spot-on and have effectively conveyed the mystery and thrill of the film, set in the backdrop of a festive Kolkata. Deception and lies are excellently conveyed, and each trailer has outdone the previous one. The music by Vishal-Shekhar is a big bonus; sinister, quirky, unusually offbeat – in short, fantastic. Vidya Balan, 0ff from critical and commercial success, comes to a heroine-dominated film (a type she usually excels in), and her performance seems to have many facets. All in all, this film excites and interests.

2. Agent Vinod

Poster

Director – Sriram Raghavan

Stars – Saif Ali Khan, Kareena Kapoor, Gulshan Grover

Release date – March 23, 2012

Agent Vinod is Saif’s own home production, and at INR60 crores, its cost quite a mint of money too. An action-thriller in spy style with Bollywood jhatka, it’s one of the biggies of 2012. Sriram Raghavan has highly critically acclaimed films to his credit, not the least of which is Johnny Gaddar; however, none of them have exactly set the box office on fire. The trailers have been plain poor in the beginning. The bad music (composed by Pritam) didn’t help matters. Songs like Dil Mera Muft Ka have already received a fair share of ridicule from musical experts. The second trailer did a whole lot of good and dispelled the bad taste of the film’s early marketing. Saifeena come together for the film, meaning lots of gossip and hence publicity; brawls have helped as well. None of them are stalwarts, but should be adequate, and the settings and locations are gorgeous to say the least. Big explosions, high-power car chases and some whackiness have given this film a hatke feeling. Let’s hope this does well, for Saif’s sake.

3. Housefull 2

Poster

Director – Sajid Khan

Stars – Akshay Kumar, John Abraham, Ritesh Deshmukh, Shreyas Talpade, Jacqueline Fernandez, Asin, Shahzan         Padamsee, Zarine Khan, Mithun Chakraborty, Rishi Kapoor, Randhir Kapoor, Boman Irani

Release date – April 5, 2012

Housefull 2 is a big multi-star cast film composed of veterans, big names, animals and one house. A comedy (officially), the film has hit the marketing blitz with quite a vengeance. Expecting anything good from Sajid Khan is a massive folly; rest assured, cinematic quality is not one of the things that this film will boast of. However, he has churned out hits in both his directions, and the film is a part of a brand. These should help the film quite a lot. The presence of well-known names only helps. The music (composed by hit duo Sajid-Wajid) has been mixed as per audience polls, with Papa Toh Band Bajaye all set to rock charts but Anarkali Disco Chali not being so lucky. The trailer initially received quite a negative response, though things have become much better now; the trailer is actually one of the most searched trailers on YouTube. A lot is at stake here; Akshay Kumar desperately needs a big hit after a downhill-going film career post 2008, while Sajid Khan needs this film to hit the jackpot so as to permanently cement himself as a commercial director. All the stars have less here at stake, though each could do with a big hit in the kitty. The problem is, a multi-starrer divided the success of a film on all of its parts, meaning less recognition for any single individual. Let’s just hope for the best and not reach out too high in the sky.

Your opinions please, in the comments section below.

About the author:
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Student and film addict. Stars may come and stars may go but films go on forever.

41 COMMENTS
  1. Jasp the Wasp

    Okay here’s my predictions to kick things off :-

    * Kahaani – 40-50 crore, will sustain well.

    * Agent Vinod – 75-85 crore, will have drops but nothing massive.

    * Housefull 2 – 65 – 75 crore, should have drops but again nothing too much.

  2. Tango

    Kahaani – 28-33 crore

    Agent Vinod 80-90 crore

    Housefull 2 90-100 crore.

  3. Aditya007

    Kahani-30+cr
    Agent Vinod- 80cr+
    HF2- 100cr+

    ETT-150cr+
    srk’s next- 85-90+cr

  4. dwnpiyush

    Kahaani- 3.5 to 4 Cr opening day 26-28Cr Total (Dil Toh Baccha Hai Jee Range)
    Agent Vinod- 8.5-9 Cr Opening day 65-70 Cr Total (Rockstar Range)
    Houseful2- 11-12 Cr Opening day Total 70 Cr Total (Tees Maar Khan Range)

  5. Jasp the Wasp

    @Aditya

    Who is talking about SRK-Yash and ETT? Stick to the given films.

  6. Kunal

    Kahani

    Total- 25 crore…. would sustain on the lower side

    Agent vinod

    Total- 70 crore…would again sustain on lower side/moderately

    Housefull 2

    Total- 90-100 crore… would not crash but wont sustain as well… again would do moderate trending

  7. AwesomeAkshay

    Kahaani – 30-40 crore
    Agent Vinod 50-80 crore
    Housefull 2 90-130 crore.

  8. ranjit

    you are again on the wrong way…bollywood me abhibhi 3 cheez hi bikte hai…1)The star power..2)The songs..3)The Sex…..
    Kahani may get good reviews from the critics and good WOM but it will not sustain..log isse theater me kam dekhne jayenge and they will wait for pirated version..:P..it will not earn more than 45cr..
    The fact is same for AV..Saif ali khan was never a mass puller…expecting his film to do business of 80cr…is really funny…in my view ,it will just cross 55cr..
    The scene will be different for HF2…This will be very much hyped as Tees Maar Khan…but as this is sequel and public knows the genre of the movie so it will not fall as TMK…about the business this will cross 100cr if it will have good comedy..but if it turns into as a crap then maximum 70-75 cr…

  9. ranjit

    lol..i made a mistake…the collection of kahani should be of the range 25cr to 30cr

  10. prg

    Kahaani : 25 cr +

    AV: 75 cr

    HF 2: 90 cr+

  11. prg

    i made a mistake for kahaani… 25cr is the max not 25 cr+

  12. Jasp the Wasp

    Wow such low expectations from kahaani? :o

  13. Action

    Kahaani:30 cr lifetime if WOM is extraordinary.Collection will be similar to NOKJ.Not even 1% chance of clicking in single screens.
    Agent Vinod:It will do good business in multiplexs especially in big cities.It may do 80~90 cr lifetime just like ZNMB.
    Housefull 2:
    Opening weekend-50 cr even if the WOM is mixed.
    First week-72~75 cr.HF1 lifetime will be broken in 1 week flat.
    Lifetime:110~120 cr with chances of crossing Ready.

  14. Rowdy haque

    kahaani – not more than 25cr

    Agent vinod – 80 is maximum

    Housefull 2 – 100 + is possible as we all know Sajid khan promotion is very different kind and buzz is also increasing

  15. Prashant

    Kahani: 25cr to 30cr

    Agent Vinod:
    60cr(bad wom) to 85cr+(good wom)

    Housefull:
    70cr(crap comedy) to 95cr+(gud cmdy)

  16. Dino

    Kahaani= 20 crore
    AV= 45 crore
    HF: 120 crore.

  17. SV

    Housefull 2 – 65 – 75 crore, should have drops but again nothing too much.

    Optimistic predcition jasp the wasp :D

  18. Sahil19

    I don’t know for agent vinod, but I think people need to remember housefull 2 is a sequel to very successful liked housefull. I think it has strong chances of crossing 100 cr, just look at the response. Its in similar line to Golmaal 3.

  19. Aditya007

    @jtw
    mera mann tha , issliye kah dhya.

  20. alizain2844

    Kahani will be in 20-25 cr range ..
    AV will have good opening with weekend of almost 33-35 cr but will not sustain much there on coz it will be liked by high end multiplexes only and will end up in 60-65 cr range..
    Then HF2 i belive is hyped for nothing.. As we can see tht its song papa toh band bajaye couldnt reach 2 lac views even in one week so i belive it of having 37-38 cr opening weekend and will not crush but wont sustain highly either.. it will end up in 85-90 cr range..

    @JTW
    I think u shud have asked for Talaash also..

  21. danish

    ek tha tiger – 500 cr

    dabangg2 – 1000 cr.

  22. Jasp the Wasp

    @Aditya

    LOL.

    @alizain

    3 releases at a time; Talaash wil definitely come, don’t worry.

    @danish

    Finally you have shown that you are blind. Go take your Salman doll and lick it in private.

  23. Prashant

    @Danish: Bhai itna likh ki tere prediction pe log hanse na ki tujhpe

  24. Rowdy haque

    @danish…..

    Sallu aaj tk itna apne pocket me rakh kr ghar se bahar nikla hoga…..

  25. Yakuza

    And Kahaani .. 2275(two thousand two hundred and seventy five Only) Crore … ;)

  26. Sanjeev

    kahani- around 25 …
    agent vinod – 80
    housefull 2- 90..may cross 100

  27. Dogafull-2

    Kahaani : 30 cr

    Agent Vinod : 80 cr

    Housefull – 2 : 105 cr

  28. danish

    @jaspthewasp, prashant, rowdyhaque, yakuza – sab andhere mein teer chala rahe hain maine bhi chala diya. there is no way to predict the collections of a movie accurately except the 1st day may be (even that wud be a lil off the mark) and this is as scientific as astrology. so why cant i write ett 500 cr and dabangg 1000 cr jab sab tukka fazeeti hi chal rahi hai.

  29. Shalu

    Kahaani : 15 – 20 cr.

    Agent Vinod : 50 – 60 cr.

    Housefull : 110 – 120 cr.

    Kahaani is not the kind of film to attract audience in large numbers. The director’s bad track record isn’t going to help either. I will be very happy if the film manages to do more than my prediction and emerges a success for Vidya’s sake.

    Agent Vinod’s promos have been quite thanda till now. Don’t see this film getting a good response in single screens as its premise with very Don-2-like (not single screen friendly) and also Saif doesn’t have a fan following in the interiors. Sriram Raghavan’s fan following too is in the metros. If the film is accepted by the multiplex audience in a big way then it can even do up to 80 cr but somehow I find that possibility quite bleak.

    Housefull 2 is a franchise now like Golmaal and if accepted even in a small way, will do 100 cr + easily. The genre appeals to both multiplex and single screen audience and a huge opening is definitely on the cards.

  30. rockie_c83

    Kahani – 25cr
    AV – 50cr
    HF2 – 95cr

  31. rajeev singh

    kahani 30-35 cr
    agent vinod either around 70 cr or if bad 45-50 cr….
    housefull 2,if good in the range of golmaal 3, that is 105 cr.

  32. Alfa.one

    Kahani – 25 – 30 Cr

    Housefull 2 – 75 Cr

    Agent vinod – 75 Cr

  33. Rowdy haque

    Ormaxmedia – cinematix update

    Housefull 2 set to become of the top 10 opening ever , tracking at par with the biggest film of 2011 at wk 6 stag……

    Tweeted by ormaxmedia

  34. Tashan

    HMMM HF2 set to have a 65 cr wk only so it has exceeded all the expectations.

  35. Serenzy

    Evry1 got kahaani wrong.

    The power of WOM…The power of kahaani…The power of vidya…The magic of the film.

    Fantabulous…Superb.!!!

    Take a bow sujoy ghosh.

    55cr…Kahaani…Vidya
    \m/

    a round of applause to irrfan,pst and tigmanshu also…Going gr8 guns in its 6th week…Wadda an achievement

  36. Jasp the Wasp

    My prediction for Kahaani was the closest (40-50 crore). Power to me too! :D :P

    Though yes, Kahaani was totally unexpected. LOL at the others who expected 15-30 crores for Kahaani.

    Agent Vinod predictions have also been hugely off the mark (mine included). Only HF2 has certain chance of reaching expectations. So that’s 1/3, i.e 33% from this survey :D

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