RA.ONE, BODYGUARD and DON2:Predictions, Speculations

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The month of July has brought the smiles back on Bollywood as there have been four consecutive hits, which is a rarity.
But, none of these movies were the most anticipated ones.

Even Ready which grossed 120 Cr+ was never the most anticipated movie of this year.

The three most anticipated movies of this year are unarguably the following
- RA.ONE
- BODYGUARD
- DON 2

Now, since all the 3 promos have been aired, I thought it will be a good time to try to figure out which one is most likely to be the winner.

RA.ONE - This movie has the biggest budget and definitely most risky. An untested genre, a director having a series of duds and a humongous budget. The promo also met with a mixed response (Youtube Likes:Dislikes =3:1, just for reference). Plus, the makers seemed unconvinced about their own product and trying out too many different things. On the positive side, I think the music will be good and the promotion will be huge which will ensure a record opening. But, a good opening is not sufficient to carry it through due to the huge costs involved. Prediction – Opening weekend (5-day): 70 Cr, Lifetime < 120 Cr. Verdict: Below Average/Flop

BodyGuard: Typical Sallu masala movie with all the ingredients. Sallu is on a roll and that too on Eid. But the director is unknown.ALso, it is clear that unlike a Wanted or Dabang, the Love story here is the central theme and it has to connect to the audience. The promo again has mixed response, at least from the urban crowd (Youtube liks:dislikes <3:1). But Sallu's main fan base (Single screens) do not spend much time on the Internet. SO, this has to be taken with a pinch of salt.Prediction - Opening weekend(5 day) - 65 Cr. Lifetime:130 Cr. Verdict - Blockbuster (What is the cost/budget, can someone confirm?)

DON 2 - Now, this movie I am 110% convinced will be kick ass. The promo was excellent(Youtube Likes:Dislikes =12:1, miles ahead of the other two). , SRK looks dashing, the locales are breath taking. Only negative could be Farhan’s slow pace of narration but I think, being an intelligent man, he knows this better than anybody else and would have taken care. Other problem could be the failure of RA.ONE. Prediction: Weekend – 55 Cr, Lifettim: 150 Cr. Verdict – All time blockbuster.

So, to summarize –
DON2 will be the winner and a probable All time blockbuster, BodyGuard will be a huge hit and a probable blockbuster wwhile RA.ONE is the most risky and a probable Flop/Below Average.

What do you guys say?
Disclaimer – I am an SRK fan and want both RA.ONE and DON 2 to succeed.