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utkal

Utkal



I am willing to stick my neck out and say MNIK is going to flop. Reasons:

1. When essentially commercially directors try to tackle lofty themes most often disaster is the result: ( eg., Imaan Dharam,Desh Premee)
2. It is big fallacy that SRK and Kajol coming together after so many years is a big plus. On the contrary. A fresh pairing, ora poular pair in its early stages is always exciting, not one that one has seen mnay times. Amir-Kajol in Fanaa were looked forward to. Not SRK-Kajol in MNIK. How many of the latter day films of Dharmendra-Hema, Rajesh-Sharmila or Anil-Madhuri were big hits?

3. The music is mediocre and predictable. In all-bollywood it has critics’ score average of 65%, less than Veer. Also the whole music concept is stale: contemporary Sifiana songs when you dont want lip-sync songs. It has been done in Kurban. There has beena faux-sufi song in practically every film of late with words like maula, sajda thrown in.

4. It is again a delusion to think that the theme will appeal to Muslims. If at all, the Muslims should have warmed up to the theme of Kurbaan more. A wronged Muslim taking up terrorism is likely to resonate more than a Muslim peacenik. Otherwise you would have had a Muslim Gandhi rather than a Osama Bin Laden.

5. There are too many gimmicks like Aspergers syndrome, 9/11 and Married woman with children and what have you. Imaan Dharam anyone?
6. Sharukh’s mushy lines addressed to Mandira are cringe-worthy. The multiplex auidences have moved on. Today they patronise Kaminay, DEv D and Ishqiya. Even if they like a sentimental story a la Paa or 3 Idiots they can take it only if it is counterpoised with humour. No sign of that in 3 Idiots.
7. The whole thing about basing the crucial part of the film in USA has no takers today. The real big hits of our times are rooted soildly on Indian soil: 3 Idiots, Ghajini, Rab Ne Bana di Jodi, Om Shanti Om. It is only the middling hits that are based abroad.
8. And the most fatal weakness is the theme:a Muslilm as a vulnerable victim is totally out of sync with anyones thinking, both muslims ans non-muslims.

So there I am. I have seen how not one among the trade pundits could see that Kurbaan would be a resounding flop. Neither did many in the forum. So this time I am sticking my neck out and advnacing my prognosis.My instinct said Kurbaan was going to be a boring film and some how there was no urge to se the film. ( haven’t still seen it.)I have a similar feeling baout MNIK.

There Are 49 Responses So Far. »

  1. Doga 30 January 2010
    10:47:25 pm

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    I make my own claim that MNIK wont be a flop, Reasons :

    1) Its SRK/KJO/Kajol combo, the plex audience hasnt moved anywhere,infact its the same audience who made SRK into Multiplex King.

    2) Comparing MNIK to Kurbaan, i mean a Saif starrer vs a SRK starer. Agree even I instantly saw Kurbaan as a failure, heck i found the promo itself boring and said that promptly. But this is a far huger case.

    3) The music is good, 65% is a high rating. The BGM seems hitting the right tones too during Trailers.

    4) The film is so huge that the Muslim angle itself will not be a big reason for the initial draw.

    5) The lines my be cringe-worthy or something(even myself not a fan of SRK) but a lot of audience likes or loves that.

  2. utkal 30 January 2010
    10:58:43 pm

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    “The lines my be cringe-worthy or something(even myself not a fan of SRK) but a lot of audience likes or loves that.” Yes, but the number of that kind of audience has gone down drastically today. The reason no one in the multiplex audience watches a Veer.

    SRK-Kajol is nota big draw among the large chunk of todays’ audience, the younger lot. They have hardly seen Kajol. And in any case the pairing looks stale, as they go through the motion. Kajol is no different from what she was in K3G.

  3. Doga 30 January 2010
    11:02:05 pm

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    Also lets see worst case scenario,

    We just saw Veer getting royal Media/Critics thrashing(41% reviews) but it will still do around 45+ cr if not more, just based on Salman’s pull among his fans and certain territories(CP Berar,CI,Rajasthan,Bihar,Nizam),though the movie has definitely underperformed as per expectations.

    Point here being that SRK has his solid Plex pull and coming after 1.5 years he will just rock the first week and definitely the reviews wont be as bad as Veer(just example), and Plex definitely give a bigger revenue, so we are looking at 65-70 cr from MNIK in the worst case scenario.

    So even from purely BO perspective i don’t see it failing as in fail.

    PS: You might be right about SRK-Kajol Jodi being away too long, but i think it might be their last gasp at glory and right now thats all they need.

  4. Ihab 30 January 2010
    11:40:34 pm

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    Kurbaan was a bad movie. People might deny this, but it was almost Anti-Muslims. This is the reason why movie tanked too. It wasnt good.

    I am personally waiting for MNIK. I am a muslim, not a very religious one. Infact, I have never even seen anyone from religious point of view. I dont get involved with religous talk on internet or anywhere else but I cant deny it that i get little hurt by all the flak we muslims get. Sometimes, its plain horrible to see some people’s opinions on Muslims.. I want MNIK to succeed personally and I wish it is a Great movie and makes an impact. I would love to see it do really more in Overseas than in India.

    Coming on the topic of whther it wil flop or be a hit, I think the main question will be whether Fox will be able to recover 120+ crores invested on this (98 crores for all rights and then another 20 crores for promotion, distributing, advertising etc). I think the total revenue of this movie can be 150+ crores. Anyways, I see this movie get atleast 30 crores from Overseas and atleast 35-40 crores from India because the opening is bound to be huge. Its being touted as the Movie of the Century by some media people…

  5. ideaunique 31 January 2010
    12:58:05 am

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    shivsena will make sure that MNIK doesn’t release in Mumbai/Thane thus loosing out on crores :-)

  6. Tango 31 January 2010
    01:01:40 am

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    Good points Doga and ihab.

    & ihab you are right if anyone says he is not all that religious or very open minded, and does not mind his/her community being misunderstood/getting a bad name for the wrong doings of certain own ppl, HE/SHE is lying.

    No one will like their own community to be seen in a bad light and if even a small step/effort can remove some notions it will be welcome.

  7. Tango 31 January 2010
    01:02:47 am

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    idea it’ll be solved, don’t worry and it won’t even need SRK, Karan will manage it.

  8. Tango 31 January 2010
    01:04:09 am

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    BTW- Doga did you see IBOF total on Veer, after both Taran and BOI have given the breakdown ?

  9. Salim 31 January 2010
    03:00:47 am

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    Regarding whether the film will flop, I have no idea…there’s no accounting for audience taste. But the movie looks plain bad. But I gotta say I quite like the soundtrack, better than KJ’s usual stuff with english lyrics. As for Kurban, it was just a dreadsful film, so I don’t think the theme is relevant to the fact that it flopped.

  10. rockstar 31 January 2010
    03:56:46 am

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    Doesn’t matter whether it is hit or flop

    Its certainly is not related to India …not by any stretch of imagination

    It surely would have interested me if a proper movie on mumbai carnage is made by a responsible talent which still rankles indians who are known by their nationality not by their religion …

    And for kjo hopefully he grows from his Katrina and 9/11 ( may he just woke up after a decade that to with a copy of rainman )

  11. sandy 31 January 2010
    04:43:29 am

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    Shiv Sena is indulging in shameless vote bank politics and they are looking pathetic trying to keep step with Raj Thackerey. Every party in Maharashtra is a shame for its people and the country. The Congress allowed Raj to carry on his goondism so that he would split votes of the opposition, and this time also it will be no different with Shiv Sena.

    There is a limit to this sort of gagging. It is sad to see the film industry being made a constant target. At the time of release, they are so vulnerable and the state government ought to give them full protection. But it never seems to happen. I’m asking WHY!!! Why are our stars allowed to be at the mercy of these self-serving, violent parties?! It is saddening. At least with the NBA, there was some conviction for what they were fighting for and there was some genuine ire against Aamir. But this seems so manufactured and despo, it’s downright disgusting.

    I don’t think cine goers should cow down before this. They should all go ahead and see the film.

    It’s difficult to say whether all this will affect MNIK’s prospects. Now, if this takes a serious turn, then maybe there will be a problem. But I just don’t see enough people supporting SS , so I’m hoping it will die down. But the party is so shameless, they will continue rioting till some kind of a public statement is made by SRK.

    On the positive side, the film was awfully lacking in buzz. This controversy – if it dies down – would have only helped it a little. Though I think such tasteless, pointless controversies take away some sheen out of the movie.

  12. rockstar 31 January 2010
    04:56:40 am

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    this will be allowed to continue :

    raj was given free run by congress with his goondagiri so that opposition votes will be divided and it did worked

    even in long run even this incident will favour raj only as both chacha and bhatija themselves are going alltogether in different route( ss will get lot of bad press) just when raj got more attention because of taxi domicile incident and again government gave him free run

  13. sandy 31 January 2010
    04:58:01 am

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    Utkal: Your points are food for thought, but before seeing the film, one can never say if they hold true or not.

    Yes, SRK-Kajol have reached a comfort zone and they don’t really excite as a pair. I don’t believe people will see the film for them alone. The music is good, and the BGM appears nice, but yes, the lyrics are repetitive and there is a predictability about the soundtrack. I am not surprised Veer is rated higher. I consider it vastly superior. Guys please listen to Dabi Dabi, Surili, Taali and all the numbers. They are gems.

    You may also be right about the US setting which may not appeal to Indians.

    All that is correct, but the film can still be an engaging, emotional experience if it is a well-told story.

  14. rockstar 31 January 2010
    05:08:14 am

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    some question for mr karan johar and mr srk :

    may be u.s is bad so mucH fuss was being made for ur detention and so much drama then why you need the same u.s for the promotion of your movie …. by ringing bell on NASDAQ

    WHY DON’T SHOW SOME GUTS AND SAY THE REAL THINGS ABOUT THE ACCUSED OF 26/11 OPENLY

  15. JustaFan 31 January 2010
    05:37:29 am

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    Rockstar….what does SRK’s detention at the airport has to do with the promotion of his movie? His movie is based in U.S so why wouldn’t he promote it here. Even if it was not based in U.S he should still be promoting it. It’s not like he lambasted the entire U.S for that episode. Also, where does 26/11 come from? I have read time and time again as to why SRK and Johar based their movie in U.S when terrorism is also a major problem in India. This is abusurd to say the least. These guys are free to choose any subject they like….the only thing we ask of them is to treat a subject like this sensitively. Be it 9/11, 26/11, Black Friday etc…..

    Let’s see what the movie is before we start speculating it to death.

  16. JustaFan 31 January 2010
    05:41:41 am

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    Also, If SRK made a big deal about the incident then it’s his fault. You can’t expect someone working at a U.S aiport to know who you are (even if it was Newark airport which probably has the most Indian working of any aiport in America).

  17. ideaunique 31 January 2010
    05:52:24 am

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    “idea it’ll be solved, don’t worry and it won’t even need SRK, Karan will manage it.”

    maybe yes! but karan will cowardly kneel down at SS’s feets…and say sorry!

    sandy, ur thoughts are fine but try writing the same in your newspaper and see how your editor shrinks to print it! or evenif it gets publishde – SS will be after your life…are you strong enough to fight them???

    It is because majority of people don’t respond aggressively to these thackrey-goondas…they go on and on….

  18. Tango 31 January 2010
    06:51:18 am

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    Idea -

    maybe yes! but karan will cowardly kneel down at SS’s feets…and say sorry!

    well we are not dealing with literate ppl, rather total illiterates who have achieved precious little, as compared to those who have come from other states. Yeah exceptions are there. Many have done well, but majority of SS supporters are working as porters, selling fish etc.

    Even Big B had to say sorry (for no fault of his) on behalf of Jaya, during Drona.

  19. Raju Guide 31 January 2010
    07:33:42 am

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    I wish KJo and SRK dont apologize and show some guts this time(in BW history as far as I remember only Aamir has the balls..didnt apologize till now to the hooligans). Heck its just movie…no need to bend down in front of these ppl for few crores.

  20. ăbzee 31 January 2010
    07:41:40 am

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    Raju- It’s not a simple black and white case of whether one’s got balls. If it is your money riding on a film, and when the state government is apathetic towards such developments, what recourse do you have but to tender an apology and get it done and over with. Aamir Khan’s resolve on the Narmada issue was misinformed, btw. Even if one were to leave that aside, it wasn’t his money riding on the film. I’m sure if Aamir had produced the film, he wouldn’t have sacrificed an entire territory for an ethical stand. This brings me to the other variable- territory. Mumbai and Thane are the biggest territories, almost all of a film’s business comes from these two metropolises. So while SRK may not apologize, I can understand K-Jo trying to save his film. He cannot afford his film not releasing in Mumbai. It ain’t no Gujarat.

    I have a feeling though that this will not amount to anything graver. The Shiv Sena is losing ground and is really desperate and clutching at straws. Earlier the nephew was imitating the uncle, it’s sadly now the other way around! This has given MNIK a much needed boost though, and a certain buzz that the film was sorely missing.

  21. Doga 31 January 2010
    07:44:08 am

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    Mumbai is 40% Market(Including Maharashtra), so its not few crores.
    3 Idiots has done 75+ cr there.

    Anyways, this will be solved soon.

    Dont these political parties have better things to do.

  22. sandy 31 January 2010
    08:02:17 am

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    “I have a feeling though that this will not amount to anything graver. The Shiv Sena is losing ground and is really desperate and clutching at straws.”

    Absolutely abzee! I see this issue settling down. Everyone wants a clean release – but in today’s times it’s becomming practically impossible. So Karan and SRK should just look at the positive side. The film was honestly not generating enough buzz. This will only help it. As for stars apologizing, I don’t think stars can afford to strictly go by morals and ethics. Too much money is involved and they have very little support from the govt. I wouldn not hold anything against SRK_karan – whatever they choose to do.

  23. Doga 31 January 2010
    08:08:35 am

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    Sandy, even during 3 Idiots there was some feeling that its not generating Blockbuster type buzz(ala OSO,Ghajini etc), but we all saw what happened.

    All the concerns will be answered on 12th Feb, when MNIK opens 90+%.

  24. Raju Guide 31 January 2010
    09:05:56 am

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    Agree with Doga. This buzz thing was discussed even during 3I. mnik – going by similar trend should do more than 3I (if we only take in account internet trend)
    http://www.google.com/trends?q.....038;sort=0

  25. Raju Guide 31 January 2010
    09:12:28 am

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    Abzee – agree that Aamir’s money was not riding directly on Fanaa..but then he faced other consequences in NBA…even much after the Fanaa died. And even during Fanaa release it was not clear as to which extend the damage will be done…even outside of Gujrat…
    BTW you are right – this is just a game – will not be anything serious this time. But I just wish KJO/SRK dont rub their nose….forget aamir/NBA.

  26. RAJ 31 January 2010
    09:21:08 am

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    1. I believe buzz for MNIK at this moment is more than what 3I had prior to 15 days ofits release..But 3I generated tremandous buzz during the last 7 days before its release…Infact we were talking about how MNIK is creating buzz 4/5 days ago ,before the SS controversy…

    2.SRK-Kajol is definitely not fresh…But i can assure you they will bring in the all important family/female audince by hords to the theatres…

    3.Reg apologisny to SS i believe no star can afford to ignore a territory like Mumbai…So i will give SRK and Kjo the benefit of doubt if they apologise and settle the issue….It requires balls to stake 100 cr of your own money and i dont think any of our Film industry personality have that kind of ball..aamir included(I would have sorted out the issue with SS if my one lakh would have been involved and here we are talking about crores)

  27. utkal 31 January 2010
    09:43:23 am

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    1oo crores of your own money? which individula’s 100 cr is involved?

  28. NyKavi 31 January 2010
    10:53:13 am

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    SS tearing down film’s posters and threatening to stop its release is despicable. These guys have nothing better to do. In a democracy, everyone has the right to free speech, and if someone doesn’t like it, they can have the choice and right not to patronize the other person. But subjecting someone to violence is absolutely criminal.

    Having said that, I also blame SRK for his stupid comments which gave the SS a card to play. What was the need to say “My father is from Pakistan, so lets love them like good neighbours”.
    Isnt that sort of characterization wrong? Pre-partition, there was no Pakistan, there was only one India. During partition, millions of Hindus were forced to migrate from what was once western India. They were forcibly evicted from ancestral homes which they lived in going back centuries. Should they maintain good neighbourly relations with those very people who forced them out of their homes?

    SRK actually opened a can of worms by commenting that way. He re-opened wounds of millions who bristle at the injustices of partition. And all these emotions will be incomprehensible to the same people who also were dumbstruck by the success of a movie like Gadar.

    Secondly, what was the need to bat for Pak cricketers. By doing so he bulldozed the concerns of those people who frankly are weary at GOI giving any more sops to a country that is relentless in its nefarious designs. GOI doesnt care to give visas to Hindus living in Pak who want to immerse ashes of their loved ones in the Ganges, but they should give visas to Pak cricketers so they can earn some dough? Let them go to hell.

    I am not even sure what SRK really thought he was aiming for with those comments of his. Totally misplaced views.

  29. My Name is Ali 31 January 2010
    11:20:15 am

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    @Utkal-Ur points and thoughts are childish and full of errors(like ur writing).
    Regarding this issue-it will be settle down in 3-4 days.
    As far business is concerned , MISTER UTKAL if u WANNA TAKE A BET , it will do in range of (80-90) CRORES in INDIA ALONE AND (100 CRORE+) in OVERSEAS and its TOTAL BUSINESS (INCLUDING SATELLITE RIGHTS +DVD RIGHTS +MUSIC etc.) will be 200 CRORE PLUS.
    I Repeat and MARK MY WORD THAT “OVERALL MNIK WILL DO 200 CRORE PLUS BUSINESS”.

  30. JustaFan 31 January 2010
    11:37:21 am

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    My Name is Ali…the childish thing here is your bet. I mean what are you betting here? If nothing of value is involved in a bet, it means jack shit!!!!

  31. JustaFan 31 January 2010
    11:41:14 am

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    and what you are saying here is not something earth shattering. I mean if MNIK wouldn’t make the same as RNBDJ 14 months later with a wider release in India then SRK really needs to start worrying about something.

  32. Ihab 31 January 2010
    11:42:06 am

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    My Name is Ali..

    You say MNIK will do 80-90 crores in India and will make 200+ crores in overall revenue? Doesnt make sense.

    Only two movies have crossed 100 crores barrier when it comes to Overall revenue – Ghajini and 3 Idiots. Ghajini made 115-120 crores in total revenue whereas 3 Idiots is going to make 180-200 crores as 135-140 crores are solely coming from Theatres around the world.

  33. Doga 31 January 2010
    11:43:08 am

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    I think its all going to end at,

    Ace Khan AKA Aamir vs King Khan AKA SRK ;)

    dont see this going anywhere else.

  34. JustaFan 31 January 2010
    11:44:04 am

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    Raj…I don’t believe that SRK and KJo have put in 100 CR of their own money in MNIK. I know they are co producing the movie but it’s being financed (like all the movies) by a third party.

  35. JustaFan 31 January 2010
    11:48:11 am

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    Doga…I am an Aamir fan but I am not going to turn this into a SRK vs Aamir deal. It’s unfair to expect a movie like MNIK to come anywhere near 3I. Now if this was a OSO type of deal then the comparison would have been fair. In my book, if MNIK crosses 100 CR in India then it’s a blockbuster.

  36. Doga 31 January 2010
    11:55:12 am

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    Yes, 100 cr for a movie like MNIK is great business in India.

    I am just wary that if MNIK does 100 cr or so, then someone might say ” its still half of 3 Idiots, hahaha ” and so on.

  37. Ihab 31 January 2010
    11:58:11 am

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    Lol, I definately dont want a SRK vs Aamir fight here.. That arguement has been done to death but keeps resurfacing after either star’s movie released. So, after MNIK, expect a fight :D

    BDW, justafan, MNIK crossing 100 crores in India will not make it a Blockbuster in my books. It has high cost, perhaps the second most costliest movie after Kites. It will no doubt recover and make some profits if it makes 100 crores but it will certainly not be a BB if it just crosses. I mean, MNIK might be multiplex movie and all but when 3 Idiots earned a whopping 120+ crores from Multiplex itself, then I am really expecting alot from MNIK here.

  38. My Name is Ali 31 January 2010
    11:59:32 am

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    @JUSTAFAN-DEAR i was expecting utkal to give answer.
    Any way my Bet range is open to anywhere between (100-1000) US DOLLARS.
    As far as my prediction about (80-90) Crore was concerned , i can say that if Movie will be liked then it can touch upto 100 Crore in India.

  39. Doga 31 January 2010
    12:03:12 pm

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    IHAB i think 3 Idiots has done 150-160 cr from Plexes, i dont think it had Crossed Ghajini/Wanted by a large margin in Single Screens.

  40. Doga 31 January 2010
    12:06:01 pm

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    3 Idiots will do around 100 cr share from India, 75 cr from plexes and 25 cr from Single screens.

    Ghajini was 27 cr share from single screens and Wanted was 25 crores.

  41. My Name is Ali 31 January 2010
    12:35:54 pm

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    My freind IHAB, you and me, both are right here,how,i explain it-
    (1)- I am expecting (80-90) Crore NETT or upto 100 Crore NETT (If Movie is much more liked) and 100 Crore nett means nearly (45-50) Crores
    and let me make sure that i’m not comparing it to 3I,3I is a wonderful movie and being an engineer,i thank aamir for reminding my engineering hostel days.
    (2) – I am expecting a WORLDEIDE GROSS of 100+ Crore and if we convert worldwide gross into nett then we will get upto 50 Crore revenue worldwide.

    Now 50 crore worldwide nett+50 crore Distributors Share=100 crore and other rights can add upto 15-20 crore then Total=120 Crore+ PURE REVENUE from all SOURCES.

    P.S: IHAB BHAI , WHEN I WAS SAYING 200 CRORE+ ,i was reffering to WORLD WIDE GROSS BUSINESS and if we convert world wide gross to nett and take distributors share plus other sources into account,then we will reach upto 120 crore+ Revenue Total.

  42. Ihab 31 January 2010
    12:45:55 pm

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    K. Thats more like it. I do wish MNIK is a big success and hope It does ATBB business like Ghajini and 3 Idiots… Really waiting for the movie.

  43. Ihab 31 January 2010
    12:50:28 pm

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    DOGA,

    I think 3 Idiots has done 50 crores atleast from Single Screens. Dont forget it has broken records in almost every circuit of India. Atleast 30-33 crores Distributors share must have come from Single Screens. I think with 70 crores DS from Plex, it means movie must have done around 150 crores NETT from there.

  44. cinematic 31 January 2010
    01:09:45 pm

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    Don’t underestimate srk. he is not aamir caliber in india, but will do his magic in overseas. So final total may be close to 3 idiots. where i live (chicago) his movies r a must dekho, even movies like rab ne n billu.

    now lets come to if this movie will match 3i in quality. I want to believe yes but Karan’s last outing leaves a very bad taste (KANK). This is somewhat outsetted by Kajol’s presence. I m just worried abt a muslim theme repetition in bollywood, i hope it doesn’t show muslims in a bad light like kurbaan.

    karan has promised mnik being a love story… if that is true, then it shall ROCK. i love kajol n i wish she is not sidelined n has an impactful role.

    does any one know what the length of the movie is?

  45. My Name is Ali 31 January 2010
    01:40:17 pm

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    IHAB BHAI-If we make a simple mathematical model to determine the INDIAN NETT business of MNIK, then again ,it will reach upto 100 crore.
    Let me doing this(I hope you will also agree with me)
    1-In first week MNIK can collect upto 50-55 Crore NETT.
    (NOW HERE I AM ASSUMING A STANDARD DROP OF 40-50 PERCENT IN COMING WEEKS THEN ITS BUSINESS WILL BE AS FOLLOWING)
    2-In week two MNIK can collect upto 25-29 Crore NETT.
    3- In week 3 MNIK can collect upto 13-16
    Crore NETT.
    4-In week 4, MNIK can collect upto 7-9 Crore NETT.
    5- From fifth week onwards upto end of its run , MNIK can add 6-8 Crore NETT .
    OVERALL IF WE TAKE LOWER LIMIT THEN THE TOTAL ADD UPTO 101 CRORE NETT.
    IF WE TAKE UPPER LIMIT THEN TOTAL ADD UPTO 127 CRORE NETT.
    Here i’m going with lower limit then MNIK WILL SURELY COLLECT UPTO 100 CRORE NETT IN INDIA.
    And 100 Crore Nett means a DISTRIBUTOR SHARE OF UPTO 45-50 CRORE .
    6-And if we assume that its OVERSEAS Business will be NEARLY 100 CRORE GROSS,THEN OVERSEAS NETT WILL BE UPTO 50 CRORE.
    7-ASSUMING THAT other rights like Satellite+Music+DVD etc. can add upto 15-30 Crore.

    NOW TAKING INTO ACCOUNT INDIAN DISTRIBUTORS SHARE (Nearly 50 Crore)+ WORLDWIDE NETT(Nearly 50 Crore) + OTHER RIGHTS NETT(Nearly 20 Crore) WE WILL GET NEARLY (50+50+20=120) Crore Total Revenue.

    Hence i can say that , if i take lower limit of my prediction then still MNIK can collect a TOTAL REVENUE OF 120 CRORE.
    P.S: Suggestion and improvement welcome.

  46. cinematic 31 January 2010
    02:04:25 pm

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    ^ Can you please not use CAPS?

    thanks

  47. My Name is Ali 31 January 2010
    02:18:33 pm

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    I am agree with cinematic that in OVERSEAS , SRK IS REAL FORCE .
    Now , if we just try to find the POSSIBLE FUTURE OVERSEAS COLLECTION NETT BY USING A SIMPLE MATHEMATICAL MODEL,THEN WE WILL EASILY GET A FIGURE IN THE RANGE OF (28-38) MILLION DOLLARS.
    Here i will explain how it goes-
    1-In NORTH AMERICAN MARKET (USA+CANADA) , MNIK will Debut at $2.5 M Weekend and will Collect upto $4M in week one and OVER ALL , MNIK will collect upto $(8-10)M in NORTH AMERICA.
    2-Similarly OVERALL FROM UK, MNIK will collect upto 2-3 Million Pounds or $(4-6)M.
    3-Again,going by same logic,in UAE (IT WILL BE VERY VERY HUGE THERE) MNIK can collect upto $(6-8)M.
    4-SIMILARLY IN AUSTRALIA,MNIK CAN COLLECT $(1-1.5)M.
    5- IN EUROPIAN MARKET, MNIK WILL EASILY FETCH $(3-5)M.
    6-In ASIAN MARKET(INCLUDING JAPAN+KOREA+HONGKONG+MALAYSIA+SRILANKA etc.) , MNIK CAN COLLECT $(3-5)M.
    7-In the REST OF WORLD (INCLUDING AFRICAN NATIONS+MIDDLE EAST), MNIK CAN COLLECT UPTO $(2-3)M.

    FINALLY OVERALL MNIK CAN COLLECT IN OVERSEAS , ANY WHERE IN THE RANGE OF $(28-38)M.
    Now if i take LOWER LIMIT of my prediction , then still MNIK will SURELY COLLECT UPTO $28 MILLION i.e NEARLY Rs.125 CRORE GROSS IN OVERSEAS.
    Now if we CONVERT OVERSEAS GROSS INTO NETT ,THEN WE WILL GET NEARLY UPTO 50-55 CRORE NETT FROM OVERSEAS.
    This is MIND BLOWING NUMBER FROM OVERSEAS,I MEAN NEARLY 125 CRORE GROSS OR NEARLY 55-60 CRORE NETT.

  48. My Name is Ali 31 January 2010
    02:20:33 pm

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    o.k cinematic , i will try not to use capital letters.

  49. utkal 31 January 2010
    09:32:42 pm

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    JUstfan: “It’s unfair to expect a movie like MNIK to come anywhere near 3I. Now if this was a OSO type of deal then the comparison would have been fair.: Was #I suposed to be OSO kind of a deal? Wasn’t it suposed to bea multiplex movie that would do less than Ghajini? Wasn’t that what every trade pundit and everyone in this forum said?

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