It has just been confirmed by Taran also “The film has been produced at a cost of Rs. 62 crores, including print and advertisement cost.”

http://www.bolywoodhungama.com/

It proved for the nth time that Tango jo bolta hai solid bolta, unlike some hypcrites, who pick and choose what suits.

And here at best we are hoping for a 60 cr total Net in India.

He also says that total returns (obviously means distributors share) will not be more than 33-34 crore.

70-75cr in today’s time is not a bad gamble as such provided the film does really well, just throwing big numbers in the opening weekend perhaps won’t serve the purpose.The film has to show some sustainability,if at all the distributor is gonna make any profit. Indian market and overseas market I think do provide the opportunity to get returns on such investment. But yes anything over 100cr is gonna be a big risk unless the film puts up Ghajini kinda collections or even more. But then there has been only one Ghajini in recent years.

On the contrary, the bulk of Ghajini business was on 25th Dec and 1 Jan – both Thursdays and both festive holidays; according to reports business was 10+ cr on those days. And considering the movie did not fell that much, a 27 cr Net from Friday to Sunday is plausible.

btw, 64 cr was the producer total, the actual number is likely to be 62-63 cr.

Look at KI, its budget is 45-50 cr according to Akshay’s interview. Eros had bought it for 75 cr and may well struggle to recover the investment even though KI has opened well.

If Eros cant recover an amount of 75 cr, why would someone invest 100 cr on movies like London Dreams or Blue? Even 3 Idiots or Kites will struggle to recover the money unless it does a ghajini at the box-office.

That is right. Looking at the way things have gone in the weekdays(there is a fall in the collections but not bad as such), I can see a 60%+ fall in the subsequent weeks which would take it close to 60cr.

btw, i think we are looking at around 35 cr Net week 1. If the numbers support this then KI has done well despite the poor reviews.

the WOM can be assessed from its trending from week 2. If it aint bad, then it shud reach 60 cr from here. Else may fold up around 50 cr in total.

**The India theatrical business of Kambakkht Ishq in its first week closed at Rs20 crore distributor share”

Both statements are quite contradictory.If we believe his words that it has not done 24cr over the weekend, then there is no way it will have a distributor share of 20cr in the first week at the first place.To get a share of 20cr, the film has to show a nett. collections of anything around 36-37cr which is only possible if the weekend numbers were in the range of 24-25cr as the film has already shown more than 50% fall over the weekdays.

RKS- What was the ‘comparable Ghajini figures’ as reported by Taran and BOI that he says is 27 crore?

He is not refuting 24 cr weekend Nett, but just saying its not the biggest opener as Ghajini did more.

He also says 20 cr distributor share in week 1, which means 37-38 cr Nett week 1 for KI. He had previously reported 15 cr distributor share for NY in week 1 and the week 1 total turned out to be 28 cr Nett.

His figures here matches with BOI/Taran’s reporting till date.

If Distributor share of NY is predicted to be 28cr then it must be doing more than 56cr NETT(as it is more of a multiplex movie).

“New York, against our estimate of Rs25 crore business in India will now easily touch Rs28 crore distributor share, making it the biggest film of the year, ahead of Kambakkht Ishq.”

!!!!!!! Livemint par Ganjaa miltaa hai kya?

Well just like the gross and nett figures, there has been no single figure on the cost. I think ppl are chosing numbers based on their liking and then deciding how to use those numbers to make KI superhit or flop. I will go by what the perception of trade analysts will be on KI same time next week.
With more positivities around KI, it looks to be a clean HIT to me. Whatever small doubts that are coming they from part time bloggers.