rudresh

rudresh | 21 | December 28, 2008 at 10:30 am | 68 views | NaachGaana Bol| Share

Last Week released Rab Ne bana Di jodi has performed very well in its second week. In second week movie has collected approximately  Rs 24 -25  cr .

Movie has sustained very well in small centers where the  average fall was around 27% only. Overall movie falls by 48% in second week .

On Wednesday Ghajini released with bumper opening accross all the centers and heading towards the great first week.

 

Movie	Week	Estimation(Cr)	Range	Verdict
Rab Ne Bana Di Jodi	2nd	24.82	24.0-25.0	SuperHit

 

Full Estimation:

Comparison with First week of Rab Ne Bana Di and Jodhaa  Akbar 

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There Are 21 Responses So Far. »

1. 

   Som 26 December 2008
   10:59:43 pm

   

   Thanks Rudresh! It indeed looks like a 43-45% fall over all.. Btw I would also like you to make an estimate on the basis of FI as well.Taran has missed Ahemdabad and Ghaziabad which will definitely be there at FI.So the more the number of centers, the more accurate will be the All India fall.
2. 

   Tango 26 December 2008
   11:25:27 pm

   

   Thank you Rudresh. Great approach and trends with the data available at hand.
3. 

   devesh 27 December 2008
   01:46:31 am

   

   Good work chap
4. 

   Julie 27 December 2008
   02:15:42 am

   

   rudresh – thanks and good work. SO RNBDJ has trended very well. Commendable. I see this holding up very well for the next few weeks at least.
5. 

   neelu 27 December 2008
   02:20:48 am

   

   As usual Taran will report incomplete numbers to fudge the picture. BOI says RNBDJ is trending extremely well and calls it a blockbuster already. That makes it a hattrick of blockbusters for SRK!
6. 

   Julie 27 December 2008
   02:30:27 am

   

   neelu – Taran has made himself look like a fool on so many occassions now that one cannnot even take him seriously. His bias against films coming out of the YR banner has been pretty evident. He gave Aaja Nachle 1.5 star can you beat that. I don’t take this guy seriously and look at him go all overboard in his commentary as well about Ghajini and against RNBDJ. He did the same with SR. Ultimately had to change his tune.

   Despite all the woes and cries about BOI expressed by a few NG members, BOI is amongst the first to declare a 40 crore weekend in India for Ghajini and predict a 100 crore final gross.
7. 

   rudresh 27 December 2008
   03:27:44 am

   

   thanks, devesh and julie
8. 

   devesh 27 December 2008
   03:33:15 am

   

   Julie, BOI never messes with numbers, their commentary with Bachchan movies is least encouraging, and mostly negative. But their numbers are bang on target most of the times.

   BTW Rudresh, your method is extremely detailed and well though of. How did you decide upon it? Your column is more accurate than any other BO column IMO. But you should use FI numbers and not Taran’s for best accuracy
9. 

   devesh 27 December 2008
   03:39:45 am

   

   Rudresh, Ghajioni looks like it will shatter the opening week record in the opening weekend itself. Lol looking headed for 60-65 cr. 1st week.

   Whatever one may say, this opening itself guarantees a HIT at least!
10. 

    Julie 27 December 2008
    04:02:49 am

    

    devesh – true. A 60 crore opening immediately classifies it as a hit at least by me becasuse I don’t completely go by the trending theory. With that kind of opening, 100 crores is within the radar and that will be truly historic.

    I agree with you on Sarfarosh. This is one of my most favorite Aamir films amongst Lagaan and TZP. Another film that comes to mind is Baazi (very low on hype) but Aamir had me completely bowled over. The music of Baazi was awesome too.
11. 

    ideaunique 27 December 2008
    04:12:00 am

    

    devesh/julie, going by reports – everyday nett is 10-12 cr so do you thin that after gettin 45-50 cr till Sunday, it will go on generating 10-12 cr everyday? as the xmas vacation is going on and new year around – i guess it may generate:

    Till Sunday (28th Dec) – 45-50 cr
    Monday – 5-7 cr
    Tuesday – 5-7 cr
    Wednesday – 5-7 cr
    Thursday (1st)- 8-10 cr
    Friday – 8-10 cr
    Saturday – 10 cr
    Sunday (4th Jan)- 10 cr
    ————————–
    do you think it will cross 100 cr NETT by next sunday?
    I do.
12. 

    jayshah 27 December 2008
    04:19:42 am

    

    Idea – all your insane guesses have come to fruition so far so continue predicting. I think you are Aamir’s lucky mascot!
13. 

    rudresh 27 December 2008
    04:26:14 am

    

    well if 1st week is 60 cr then its already superhit for me, as it will definitely make 75+
14. 

    ideaunique 27 December 2008
    04:32:35 am

    

    Jay Lol
    I’m just going by my gut feeling with little-bit info like prints available, present day-to-day collection etc. and common-sense as aids but what do u say abt. Monday onwards daily treading?
15. 

    rudresh 27 December 2008
    04:34:16 am

    

    Devesh:

    because only indiafm provides numbers on sat.

    Tanran numbers are sometime few and sometime incomplete also but generally i have no objection with his numbers.
16. 

    ideaunique 27 December 2008
    04:45:02 am

    

    Jay, do u remember I had mentioned that on an average Rs. 100 ticket for multiplex – 1 cr people need to watch Ghajini to make it 100 cr – now, in fact – by the time 1 cr people watch Ghajini – total will be much higher than 100 cr – how? there are multiplexes who are charging Rs. 250/- – 300/- per ticket and people are paying that much!!!!
17. 

    Tango 27 December 2008
    05:22:08 am

    

    Rudresh “well if 1st week is 60 cr then its already superhit for me, as it will definitely make 75+”

    It has been sold for 40 crore raw cost for Indian distributors and add to that cost of print of publicity, so it has to do more than that for being called a hit by me. YES, it can do that after the first 8.2 days run, by the second weekend or whenever. Hardly matters to me.
18. 

    devesh 27 December 2008
    08:04:26 am

    

    Rudresh, at 60cr, by no means can any big STAR movie classify as Superhit IMO
19. 

    rudresh 27 December 2008
    08:51:07 am

    

    I mean at 75 cr any movie can be termed as SuperHit .
20. 

    devesh 27 December 2008
    08:58:41 am

    

    Agreed Rudresh.
    But this brings me to the amazing progress the BO collections have made. 75cr just a year ago was a bonafide blockbuster, and today its just about superhit!
    Slowing or bouncing economy?
21. 

    rudresh 27 December 2008
    09:08:28 am

    

    Devesh, every thing changed
    multiplex Ticket prices are three times more than that of even balcony ticket price.

    Number of shows are more. so todays 75 cr earning means 35-40 cr earning if numbers of footfalls are same