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Som

An Ardent Cinema Enthusiast!



Om Shanti Om:

Opening: 32-34 cr

End Nett.:70-72 cr

Saawariya:

Opening:16-18 cr

End Nett:42-45cr
 

There Are 109 Responses So Far. »

  1. beldevere 31 October 2007
    01:39:40 am

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    ok thanks som
    first let me tell you what I think then I tell why I think that what I think is perhaps wrong…lol

    OSO – i will go with the number I gave in some thread about 3 months ago. 38 to 40Cr opening and 75 to 80cr total
    Saawariya – 18-20cr opening and 35-40cr total

    ok now the flaws in my logic. From what i have noticed – the total BO proceeds on opening have never been more than 45-50cr – if you include all the new movies. Tango/Jog – correct me if i am wrong there. So assuming 50cr is the total market capacity – OSO + Sawariya opening should add up to 50cr. So by that logic – the opening numbers i gave above are wrong. So it will now depend on which one beats the other. If Sawariya makes 20 and OSO 30 – then I think Sawariya held its own. If OSO goes above 35 and sawariya 15 or less – then OSO decimated Sawariya.
    Now on the totals. I think its very very hard to make a 70cr+ grosser even in this market. D2 is the only undisputed movie that got there and it had a free run for a longish time. With Goal and some other biggies coming in the next month – i doubt whether OSO can double its 40 cr opening – if it gets that.
    So net net – my numbers above is what i think the movies would get based on the hype etc. reality as they say could be totally different…:-)

  2. beldevere 31 October 2007
    01:41:16 am

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    let me also add – if OSO gets anything less than 65 cr – it would be a disappointing performance

  3. som 31 October 2007
    01:47:21 am

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    yes beldevere, that is also what i feel.
    DON+JM= 40cr in 2006 in Diwali
    DHOOM2+REST= 40cr
    BB+LCMD+REST=40cr in festive season
    from here it seems the total nett. in a week when big movies release is remaining in the range of 40 cr.expecting OSO and SAAWARIYA to do much better say 50 cr,i calculated my range.

  4. Sunny 31 October 2007
    01:47:35 am

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    OSO
    Opening: 35-38 Cr.
    Total Nett.: 60-63 Cr (generally accepted)
    66-70 Cr (generally liked)
    72-75 Cr (generally loved)
    above that is anybody’s guess.

    Saawariya
    Opening: 24-26 cr. (yes, I truly believe so)
    Total Nett: 42-46 Cr. definitely. After that it’s really relative to OSO’s performance.

  5. som 31 October 2007
    01:50:35 am

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    “OSO gets anything less than 65 cr – it would be a disappointing performance”

    it depends on how big the opening is and how saawariya fares.if OSO does a 65 cr with a 30 cr opening, i would say it did fine.anything less than 60 cr with the same opening would be an dissapointment.

  6. Sunny 31 October 2007
    01:51:05 am

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    Som/Beldevere–There’s some validity in what you have both said, but isn’t the print count for OSO+Saawariya about 50-60% more than the given examples?..correct me if I’m wrong.

  7. Aarohi 31 October 2007
    01:52:09 am

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    OSO: 28/55

    Saawariya: 22/40

  8. som 31 October 2007
    01:59:48 am

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    “but isn’t the print count for OSO+Saawariya about 50-60% more than the given examples?..correct me if I’m wrong.”

    yes it is true,but releasing a film with as many as prints does not mean that it would maximixe its potential.

  9. beldevere 31 October 2007
    02:00:50 am

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    ouch aarohi – if you are right – both movies are average to flops

    Sunny – print count doesnt necessarily matter – it is also how many people go to the movies. If that number totals to a 50cr collection – then that is the market capacity.

  10. som 31 October 2007
    02:03:23 am

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    i dont think the two movies collectively can do more than 50 cr(this is the maximum IMO)nomatter howmanny prints are in circulation.more than 50 cr nett in one week just does not seem possible in indian market.i would be surprised if it happens.

  11. Tango 31 October 2007
    02:04:28 am

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    OSO- 30-32 cr

    End- 64-66 cr

    Saanwariya 16-18 cr

    End- 33-35 cr

    I’ll come with another range, once the print distribution becomes clear.

    Beldevere- You are right about total capacity. At a rough extimation( that I have based on the recent most example of LCMD & BB) I have a rough max ( practical) capacity ( provided both OSO and Saawraiya get 100%)–

    Around 55-57 crores capacity may be available for both to have bite.

    Let me not get the nitty gritties but I have used a ceratin week 1 total and the percentage ( over the week) that I believe is correct for LCMD & BB.

  12. Tango 31 October 2007
    02:06:05 am

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    Just my estimation or you can say time pass.

  13. Aarohi 31 October 2007
    02:06:18 am

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    Beldevere: None of my predictions have come true so far, so no worries.

    Frankly, I am a bit sick of the battle coverage in TV media.

  14. jayshah 31 October 2007
    02:09:42 am

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    OSO : 30/65
    Saawariya : 17/30

  15. som 31 October 2007
    02:10:07 am

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    “Around 55-57 crores capacity may be available for both to have bite.”

    Tango:if i stretch it bit further,yes both of them can do anything around 55 cr.but 50 cr IMO looks the ideal range to reach.

  16. beldevere 31 October 2007
    02:10:49 am

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    is that right aarohi – havent caught it much. have just seen the OSO songs – man the Ajab Si and main agar kahoon are awesome and Deewangi is very very catchy. Frankly speaking, havent looked forward to a movie as much as OSO in a long time.

  17. Tango 31 October 2007
    02:16:27 am

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    Som I am including the UFO and Digital prints also and yes I agree it is my stretched limit too and that because the TWO films will each go for a high number of shaws at the mutilexes simultaneously.

    I mean raerle have I see 1820 shows for two new releases simultaneously. The neares was Jaanemann and Don but that is an old story and many new screens/multiplexes in place.

  18. Tango 31 October 2007
    02:18:53 am

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    Beldevere I feel OSO makers have stretched out their canvas a bit more ( via promos and media coverage) so that all the colours and details are visible, unlike Saawariya , if you can get what I want to say.

  19. Tango 31 October 2007
    02:20:20 am

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    **rarely have I seen 18-20 shows daily**

  20. som 31 October 2007
    02:24:26 am

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    Tango:the multiplexes can have as many shows as possibe for a film, but the question is can the movie maximize its potential?will that many number of people will come to watch the movie in a theatre?

  21. Achilles 31 October 2007
    02:30:06 am

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    beld … when did goal become a biggie to threaten OSO????

  22. beldevere 31 October 2007
    02:32:24 am

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    hey ach – no i dont think i said Goal is a threat. I said for OSO to double a 40cr opening – it will be tougher with movies like Goal and Dus K coming up. dont you think so?
    btw – am looking fwd to Goal – i hope it doesnt turn to be a love story or something

  23. Nitesh 31 October 2007
    02:32:33 am

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    OSO

    Opening: 30-32 Cr
    Final gross: 70-75Cr (Hit)

    Saanwariya

    Opening: 25 Cr
    Final Gross: 45 Cr (Average/semi-hit)

  24. Achilles 31 October 2007
    02:43:37 am

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    “D2 is the only undisputed movie that got there and it had a free run for a longish time. With Goal and some other biggies coming in the next month – i doubt whether OSO can double its 40 cr opening – if it gets that.”

    sorry beld … but goal, DK and AJ are as much a blockage to OSO’s free run just as Kabul Express ,Baabul and Bhagam Bhaag was to D2 …

    yes OSO does have the saawariya release on the same day … but ranbir in his towel and lungi is hardly any match to SRK’s charm … the dent in OSO’s opening wud probably make it impossible to break D2′ opening record … but its opening will be huge no matter how good or bad the movie is … thats srk for u.

  25. beldevere 31 October 2007
    02:54:49 am

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    ach – did the 3 movies come out within a couple of weeks of D2. i frankly dont remember. If that is true – then you are right and I stand corrected.

  26. beldevere 31 October 2007
    03:23:37 am

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    check this out
    http://www.indiafm.com/feature.....index.html

    sawariya 1
    oso 0

    Game on…

  27. som 31 October 2007
    03:23:39 am

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    beldevere:

    dhoom 2:november 26
    babul: december 8
    kabul express:december 15
    bhagam bhag:december 22

    as far as Dhoom 2 is concerned, it had a clear run till BB released in the sense that neither Babul nor KABUL EXPRESS did anything remarkable at the boxoffice.

    OSO again apart from Saawariya does not have any big competition ahead in the next 2 or 3 weeks or so.movies like Goal and AN hardly can be considered as big movies that may get massive initials.infact there is not much of potential big movies once OSO and SAAWARIYA get released.

  28. som 31 October 2007
    03:36:17 am

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    beldevere: 40 cr opening for OSO is just not possible unless SAAWARIYA fails miserably.again with a 40 cr opening, 80 cr at the end is verymuch on if it is accepted by the audience nomatter what kinda competition it faces in the upcoming weeks.a 50% trending will do the job.

  29. rks 31 October 2007
    04:51:20 am

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    These predictions based on BOI #s?

  30. jayshah 31 October 2007
    04:54:11 am

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    ‘These predictions based on BOI #s?’

    …good point in fact. Mine is based not on BOI.

  31. Elvis 31 October 2007
    05:03:00 am

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    All roughly in the same range.I find it surprising that a film starring two new comers grossing 40-45 crores would be considered average by quite a few.Distributor prices are not known.So I am not sure what totals would make these movies hits.
    My guess :
    OSO -30/58-60
    Saawariya 15/30

  32. Aarohi 31 October 2007
    05:22:55 am

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    Elvis: Salman in Saawariya is a factor too.

  33. shetty 31 October 2007
    05:26:10 am

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    Saawariya : Opening 23-26
    Final 43-48

    Hit

    Om Shani Om : Opening 25-28
    Final 44-48

    Above average

  34. Elvis 31 October 2007
    05:33:29 am

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    Shettyguru,
    Very bearish on OSO? Not expecting much?

  35. shetty 31 October 2007
    05:42:31 am

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    Elvis, OSO will have huge opening no doubt, But will fall after first weekend IMO

  36. satyam 31 October 2007
    06:27:44 am

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    Shetty: Totally offtopic there’s something freaky going on. The last time I spoke to a technician in Chennai and he turned out to be a Vijay fan. yesterday I had a recurring problem and I spoke to a technician in Mumbai for the first time. This guy turned out to be a Salman fan! I’m not making this up! I get into these film conversations because I have a lot of music on my computer and these guys invariably comment on it.

  37. satyam 31 October 2007
    06:32:51 am

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    In terms of these predictions one should also be clear as to what numbers one is using. For example I consider the BOI 30 crore figure on Partner (opening) fictitious! Or I consider the 19 crore IBOS number on BB simply too low. And so on.

    With OSO I certainly expect a hit though perhaps not the greatest ‘retention’ after the first weekend. This might follow the don trajectory. But the audience is increasingly harder to predict these days.

    On Saawariya though I am bearish for reasons I’ve mentioned before. But of course I could have a different opinion on both films once I see them.

  38. shetty 31 October 2007
    06:37:07 am

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    What’s freaky in that?

    Salman & Vijay are two finest actors of indian cinema.

    The day will come when you too start praising these 2 legends

  39. satyam 31 October 2007
    06:38:34 am

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    Shetty: Yeah a few more of these calls and I will probably be persuaded! In any case I tend not to argue on these matters with technicians who have control of my computer!

  40. Elvis 31 October 2007
    06:40:56 am

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    Satyam,
    Both occasions it was Shetty answering the calls from Bangalore! I dont believe in conspiracy theories but this indeed is a conspiracy to turn you into a Vijay/Salman fan.

  41. satyam 31 October 2007
    06:41:44 am

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    Elvis: LOL!

  42. shetty 31 October 2007
    06:44:42 am

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    One more thing. My wife is a hardcore abhishek fan and she still has no clue abt my hatred towards Abhishek.

  43. shetty 31 October 2007
    06:46:02 am

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    Shaadi se pehle maloom hota toh kuch karpaata :-(

  44. jayshah 31 October 2007
    06:48:38 am

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    ‘My wife is a hardcore abhishek fan and she still has no clue abt my hatred towards Abhishek’

    So you pretend to be an Abhishek fan ?

  45. Elvis 31 October 2007
    06:50:37 am

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    Re:My wife is a hardcore abhishek fan and she still has no clue abt my hatred towards Abhishek.

    Miyan,jis din pata chala khoob pitai hogi!

  46. Ravi 31 October 2007
    06:50:55 am

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    Shetty bhai “One more thing. My wife is a hardcore abhishek fan and she still has no clue abt my hatred towards Abhishek.”

    The last few days it was Rajen bhai making my day and today it is your turn to make my day.

    All the more reason to come and meet her and then I will spill the beans about you.

  47. shetty 31 October 2007
    06:52:57 am

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    “So you pretend to be an Abhishek fan ”

    Kya karein?

    Sometimes it is frustrating like when she says Abhi was better than Hrithik in D2. Haddey yaar

  48. shetty 31 October 2007
    06:54:13 am

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    “All the more reason to come and meet her and then I will spill the beans about you.”

    :-(

    That’s the reason I have not told her about NG.

  49. Elvis 31 October 2007
    06:55:23 am

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    Shettyguru,
    Am glad you got your comeuppance in your own home!

  50. Ravi 31 October 2007
    06:56:45 am

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    So, what are you going to introduce me as to her bro?

    Someone you met online while trying to get a girl?

    Now, I have you in my grip.

  51. jayshah 31 October 2007
    06:57:14 am

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    ‘That’s the reason I have not told her about NG’

    LOL. Ravi you have enough ammunition here to really screw Shetty up.

    Ps Shetty you must be a better actor than Salman to keep this one up for this long !

  52. Ravi 31 October 2007
    06:57:44 am

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    I am guessing that Ach bhai is not married yet, I think he will be faced with the same situation.

  53. Elvis 31 October 2007
    06:58:20 am

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    Re:Shetty you must be a better actor than Salman

    Now thats not that hard,is it?

  54. jayshah 31 October 2007
    06:59:21 am

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    Elvis…..had a feeling you’d be the first one to take the bait !

  55. shetty 31 October 2007
    06:59:42 am

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    “Someone you met online while trying to get a girl?”

    Better than ” While trying to get a guy” ;-)

  56. Ravi 31 October 2007
    07:00:28 am

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    I should have a field day on this. What is her opinion about Aish Shettygaaru?

    Would she like the way you sometimes say things about Aish?

  57. Elvis 31 October 2007
    07:00:51 am

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    Damn,hate being so predictable!

  58. shetty 31 October 2007
    07:02:04 am

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    “Ravi you have enough ammunition here to really screw Shetty up.”

    Ravigaaru is a nice man I believe ;-)

  59. Zen 31 October 2007
    07:03:08 am

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    OSO: 30 cr opening / final 20. I expect it to have a longer run than OSO
    Saawariya: 17 / final 45

  60. shetty 31 October 2007
    07:03:33 am

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    “What is her opinion about Aish Shettygaaru?”

    Believe it or faint, Ash is a close relative of my wife. She even attended Ash’s brother Aditya’s wedding

  61. jayshah 31 October 2007
    07:03:58 am

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    ‘Ravigaaru is a nice man I believe’

    The smooth talking has began. Take note Ravi.

    Zen…its impossible to open with 30 and finish with 20 !

  62. shetty 31 October 2007
    07:04:31 am

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    And before someone asks, we were not invited for Abh-Ash Wedding.

    End of personal details

  63. Elvis 31 October 2007
    07:05:05 am

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    Zen,
    Come out of the Zen state and make some sense.

  64. shetty 31 October 2007
    07:05:10 am

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    “its impossible to open with 30 and finish with 20 !”

    Unless SRK gives refund to the viewers ;-)

  65. jayshah 31 October 2007
    07:05:59 am

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    ‘Believe it or faint, Ash is a close relative of my wife. She even attended Ash’s brother Aditya’s wedding’

    This cannot get any better. I can see the day Shetty has to face his worst nightmare and go have dinner at the Bachchans ! HAHAHAHAHA…or better yet, actually have to converse with Little B.

  66. Ravi 31 October 2007
    07:07:12 am

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    So, that is why you have to watch Abhi movies 4 times?

  67. Elvis 31 October 2007
    07:08:15 am

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    If SRK believed in refunds,he would be bankrupt by now!

  68. shetty 31 October 2007
    07:08:42 am

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    “So, that is why you have to watch Abhi movies 4 times?”

    Thank god SHARARAT released before my marriage ;-)

  69. jayshah 31 October 2007
    07:11:04 am

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    ‘If SRK believed in refunds,he would be bankrupt by now!’

    LOL…I nearly laughed out loud in the office…that’s a pretty good one

    ‘Thank god SHARARAT released before my marriage’

    LOL ! Shetty I am intrigued the day you meet Abhishek. Or the day your wife finds out what a liar you have been !

  70. Ravi 31 October 2007
    07:12:20 am

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    I always wanted to ask you this Shetty bhai, if Aish was from the same community that you were from because I thought she was a shetty too, am I right? So, presumably your wife is too.

    I had commented some time back to you and Ach bhai, though shall not comment on thy neighbor’s wife when you both were commenting on Aish and you guys replied back saying that she was not your neighbor, so she is more than a neighbor to you.

  71. shetty 31 October 2007
    07:17:03 am

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    Ravigaaru, Ash is from bunt community. Some of the surnames in Bunt community: Rai, Shetty, Chowta (Sandeep Chowta) Hegde (Ganesh Hegde- Choreographer) Alva, etc

  72. shetty 31 October 2007
    07:19:08 am

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    And I doubt Satyam having some bunt connection. but Sirji never disclose anything :-(

  73. Zen 31 October 2007
    07:21:54 am

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    OSO: 30 cr opening / final 20 !! Final 60 crores. I expect Saawariyaa to have a longer run than OSO. typo

  74. Ravi 31 October 2007
    07:22:53 am

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    Did not know about that Shetty bhai, but good to know. I remember sometime back Sunil Shetty saying something like Aish and me are from the same community and that is why I look out for her or something of the sort.

  75. jeegs 31 October 2007
    07:24:39 am

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    oso – opening 29-31 crores

    total – 60 crores

    sawaariya – 18 crores opening

    total – 42 crores.

  76. Ravi 31 October 2007
    07:25:08 am

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    So, maybe I need to use your better side’s connections to get me and you a audtion with the Chotta B and the legend himself.

  77. satyam 31 October 2007
    07:29:38 am

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    Shetty: Your wife seems like a very level-headed person! We need her on NG! LOL!

    If I were to take a bet I’d say you quite like Abhishek yourself!

    As I see it Salman and Vijay are the ‘obscenities’ you hurl daily on this forum to upset the tyranny of endless discussions on Abhishek, Hrithik, SRK, Aamir, Akshay or what have you and on the other side Rajni, Kamal, Vikram, Maddy. I certainly appreciate the subversive potential here!

    You see I am giving you a lot of credit. No one could have Vijay and Salman as favorites. If indeed this is true one would have to paraphrase Wilde and say that to have one of those as favorites is bad enough but to have both might be consider as one of the supreme cases of misfortune!

  78. satyam 31 October 2007
    07:31:07 am

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    “And I doubt Satyam having some bunt connection”

    I don’t have the honor..

    incidentally does your wife know any Tulu? I know that is Ash’s first language..

  79. Zen 31 October 2007
    07:32:47 am

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    Come out of the Zen state and make some sense. lol!
    I also wrote a long comment on why OSO will open at 30 but it never showed up on the post.

  80. shetty 31 October 2007
    07:33:25 am

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    Tulu is our official language. We converse in tulu

  81. shetty 31 October 2007
    07:34:48 am

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    “I also wrote a long comment on why OSO will open at 30 but it never showed up on the post.”

    I suspect our new moderator is behind this ;-)

  82. FloydRulez 31 October 2007
    07:36:04 am

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    Shetty,

    I like the fact that you have no pretensions about your preference, although I’m 100% sure that you don’t like Vijay, you have dismissed it too.. In any case, Vijay or Ajith fans remind me of Rajini fans those days, they used to get battered for all the nonsense their star does on the screen!

  83. shetty 31 October 2007
    07:38:01 am

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    “I’m 100% sure that you don’t like Vijay”

    You are the only one who understand me.

    But I’m a true blue fan of Sallu bhai ;-)

  84. FloydRulez 31 October 2007
    07:38:36 am

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    BTW Shetty, that PFC article with Maddy’s comment was a good find. The man has a good sense of humour!

  85. shetty 31 October 2007
    07:40:27 am

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    Thanks FR.

    I guess Maddy will start writing for PFC shortly

  86. FloydRulez 31 October 2007
    07:40:39 am

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    But I’m a true blue fan of Sallu bhai

    That I know. :)

  87. FloydRulez 31 October 2007
    07:41:14 am

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    I guess Maddy will start writing for PFC shortly

    Whoa!!!

  88. Tango 31 October 2007
    07:41:14 am

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    Shetty bhai , how are you and how was your day :?:

  89. Ravi 31 October 2007
    07:44:15 am

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    So, Shettygaaru, you are going to set up our meeting right?

  90. shetty 31 October 2007
    07:46:06 am

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    “Shetty bhai , how are you and how was your day ”

    Still in office Tango bhaiyya :-( Day was fine (thanks to your Good morning :-)

  91. shetty 31 October 2007
    07:46:47 am

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    “So, Shettygaaru, you are going to set up our meeting right”

    Let me think ;-)

  92. Tango 31 October 2007
    07:51:25 am

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    Shettybhai – “Still in office Tango bhaiyya Day was fine (thanks to your Good morning”

    Yeh zulm hai, if you are married/to be married the bhabhi/to be bhabhi will say what I said in the morning

    “subha aur shaam kaam hi kaam, Kyon nahi lete piya pyaar ka naam”

    Faisla ab tumhare haath mein hai :wink:

  93. madhu 31 October 2007
    08:00:38 am

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    oSo 28-30 crores final 60 crores Hit
    Sawariya 15-18 crores final 40 crores Semi-Hit/ Hit

  94. Achilles 31 October 2007
    08:00:49 am

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    My heartiset sympathies with bhaijaan!

    “I am guessing that Ach bhai is not married yet, I think he will be faced with the same situation.”

    Ravi bhai – m ready to commit suicide than get married to a an abhi fan!!!! :( please dont predict such horrid nightmares from me! i cant sit thru a single hr of any abhi movie unless its an occassional Guru or D2!

  95. Achilles 31 October 2007
    08:08:31 am

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    “Om Shani Om : Opening 25-28
    Final 44-48

    Above average”

    agree with bhaijaan’s prediction on OSO … mine is same too … this retro stuff is a double edged sword … OSO trending mite end up being much worse than Don or KANK.

  96. jayshah 31 October 2007
    08:13:25 am

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    Achilles I don’t. The dialogue promo’s look really funny with OSO. It looks like a crowd pleaser.

  97. Ravi 31 October 2007
    08:17:53 am

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    I was just joking Ach bhai, but who knows you might get someone like me or my wife , both of us like Abhi and Hr equally. So, let us see. God works mysteriously.

  98. Ravi 31 October 2007
    08:21:44 am

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    Ach bhai “My heartiest sympathies with bhaijaan”

    Don’t Ach bhai, somehow somewhere Shetty bhai likes Abhi and enjoys those moments with his wife.

  99. shetty 31 October 2007
    09:10:35 am

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    “My heartiset sympathies with bhaijaan”

    Thanks Bhaijaan and be careful.;-)

    “somehow somewhere Shetty bhai likes Abhi”

    Even I’m searching :-)

    “subha aur shaam kaam hi kaam, Kyon nahi lete piya pyaar ka naam”

    :-)

  100. nithi_s 31 October 2007
    10:11:38 am

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    I will make my prediction after the first review is out. That will more chances of coming true …

  101. sheeru 31 October 2007
    12:16:47 pm

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    I dont understand wtf you guys saying but all I know is that OSO will get the better opening but in the longer run Saawariya will triumph…

  102. akshay shah 31 October 2007
    02:03:08 pm

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    Salman? Legend? In the league of worst actors perhaps? Or are talking about Salman Rushdie:)!

  103. Sunny 1 November 2007
    02:52:56 am

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    Ok..it’s close to 6:20 a.m. here and I’m up..have the whole day at my leisure :)

    Som/Beldevere–”but releasing a film with as many as prints does not mean that it would maximixe its potential.”

    “it is also how many people go to the movies”

    Potential is potential(CDI had a 30 Cr potential, but the few screens resulted in 2/3rd the amount). Secondly, ‘how many people go to the movies’…how many people go to the movies in the FIRST week is something we can only guess..besides..I’m sure all of us here have had the experience of coming back from shows which were housefull..right? Who’s to say we wouldn’t have watched it at another screen if it was playing.Anyway..let’s just take a situation(i’m not saying it will happen, but let’s just). D2 last year with close to 700 screens and about 90% pan India attendance got to 35 Cr. with a cinema average of around 5.04 Lakh. Now even if we don’t believe the 1000 OSO prints and 750 Saawariya prints gossip doing the rounds, and take a figure of say 750 for OSO and 600 for Saawariya..ok. Now let’s just assume OSO does a D2(just assume!), that makes it first week total around 37.8 Cr…and let’s assume Saawariya does a TRRP like deal(63-64%, gettable..right?)…so if we take the TRRP cinema average of 4.11 Lakh, it will bring Saawariya’s first week total to around 24-25 Cr. So yeah this theory does assume that OSO is doing a D2 deal(which might or might not come true) and Saawariya doing a TRRP(which doesn’t seem like a far fetch) but it could very well happen na? I believe the potential of both these movies is in excess of 60 Cr. Please correct me Tango bhai if i’ve got any data wrong here.

  104. jayshah 1 November 2007
    03:02:47 am

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    Sunny agree, but it is a perfect scenario. Even last yr both J-e-M and Don came with a capacity of 64Cr together (reported) and combined we are talking about less than 40Cr of business. So together they averaged out 62% of the total business possible. In the end this is a slight disaapointment and its mainly down to J-e-M didn’t do the type of business expected.

    The kind of capacity we are talking about is probably 40Cr for OSO and 30Cr for Saawariya. Maybe its even 45Cr for OSO. 60Cr between the two is possible but if even 50Cr has never been broken on any given week then I find it hard to expect 60Cr to be broken. Both movies have to be immensely liked if not loved for this to happen.

    The reality IMO is, Saawariya might just not be able to hang with OSO in week 1.

  105. Sunny 1 November 2007
    03:17:15 am

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    You’re absolutely right Jay, this is more or less a perfect situation I’m talking about(well..perfect for OSO atleast) but not impossible na.

  106. Sunny 1 November 2007
    03:22:11 am

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    ..and on Saawariya not being able to hang in. I actually have a different take on this,IMO the first week is a win-win situation for both films. The overflow of OSO will go to Saawariya and the one’s who go for Saawariya will be there anyway :)

    And even if there’s a situation where Saawariya has an overflow, OSO will benefit. Of course, this assumes that both films will be liked generally.

  107. beldevere 1 November 2007
    06:04:25 am

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    yo sunny (now that you are in the land of opportunity!!)!

    your argument is plausible but doubtful imho. it has to be some diwali for it to happen!

    btw – havent understood this diwali fixation. i mean – i would rather be at home and burst crackers! i guess its the diwali bonus which makes people go to the turnstiles.
    i wasnt in india for last that many years during the diwali hype – but last time i saw such hype for diwali releases pitted against each other was in 1991 – when thalapathy and guna were pitted against each other. boy – were the expectations big then esp for the rajni and kamal fans

  108. som 1 November 2007
    08:03:18 am

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    i agree with what Jay has just said here.60 cr is something which is highly impossible considering the what happened with DON and JM last year and with BB and LCMD this year.none of them managed to cross the 40 cr mark along with other films playing at the theatre same time.IMO OSO and Saawariya at max.can crack the 50 cr mark.to do a 60 cr ,more than liking for both the movies,i guess that many number of people has to come to the theatres in that week to see any of the two movies.practically we should except something around 50 cr nett.for both the movies or may be little more than that.

  109. som 1 November 2007
    08:06:21 am

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    “I actually have a different take on this,IMO the first week is a win-win situation for both films. The overflow of OSO will go to Saawariya and the one’s who go for Saawariya will be there anyway”

    It has not happened in the past.one of the movies has always suffered.the last year it was JM and LCMD this year.

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